FeedPosted Mar 12th 2010 11:00AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Analyst Initiations, Gilead Sciences (GILD)
Analyst Upgrades
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Southern Copper (SCCO) to buy from hold to reflect valuation and positive near-term catalysts. The firm raised its target for shares to $38 from $35.
- JMP Securities upgraded Ultimate Software (ULTI) to outperform from market perform. The firm cites the company's expanding employee base for the upgrade. The firm has a $40 target on the stock.
- Piper Jaffray upgraded Aeropostale (ARO) to neutral from underweight following the company's Q4 results and raised its target for shares to $31 from $24.
- Kennametal (KMT) was upgraded to sell from conviction sell at Goldman.
- Lifetime Brands (LCUT) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Barrington.
- Volvo (VOLVY) was upgraded to overweight from underweight at JPMorgan.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: ABT, ARO, BMY, CELG, DNDN, FACT, GS, PSUN, SCCO, ULTI ...
Posted Mar 9th 2010 8:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Best Buy (BBY), Ciena Corp (CIEN), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Palm Inc (PALM), Options
Sony (SNE) closed at $36.75. SNE April put option implied volatility is at 29, July is at 30, and October is at 31; below its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Goldman Sachs (GS) closed at $169.84. March put option implied volatility is at 31, April is at 32, versus its six-month average of 33, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Three stocks with IV rise on March 5; Ciena (CIEN) +11%, Palm (PALM) +9%, Best Buy (BBY) +2%, according to IVolatility.
Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Mar 4th 2010 11:40AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Merck and Co (MRK)

Thanks to a trillion dollars in credit losses write-downs on
mortgage-related securities in 2007 and 2008, financial companies around the world had a lot of capital to recapture. So, in the first half of 2009, they issued stock. More than half the new shares to come out worldwide in those six months were
issued by banks and brokers. All this stock, of course, translated to fees for investment banks. In a strange way, consequently, the financial industry healed itself.
According to Bloomberg, investment banking fees surged 13% in 2009, from $53.1 billion to $59.8 billion. This is still far short of the $86.9 billion record set in 2007, but it's at least a step in the right direction. Even with the surge of bank and broker shares issued in the first two quarters last year, total activity was still lower than in 2008.
Continue reading JPMorgan Leads in Year Bankers Make Money on Each Other
Posted Mar 1st 2010 5:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Apple Inc (AAPL), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Market Matters, Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value, S and P 500, U.S. Bancorp (USB), Stock Picks
Yes it can. Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B) can outperform Apple Inc. (AAPL) in 2010. That was my thesis in December (see Buffett's Berkshire vs Jobs' Apple for 2010?) and I still believe all the Apple hype in the world will still succumb to a solid value proposition in the long run.
While Apple was reaching new all time highs Berkshire was treading water through 2009. However, after a monster run-up Apple is taking a breather.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Berkshire Eating Up Apple -- Can It Continue?
Posted Feb 21st 2010 3:10PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Internet, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Barclays plc ADS (BCS)
The financial crisis, employment market and social media explosion have converged, providing a new level of clarity into what is happening in the world around us. Where was ground zero for this financial catastrophe? Well, according to the LinkedIn blog, five companies have shown the most action: Barclays (BCS), Credit Suisse (CS), Citigroup (C), Bank of America (BAC) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Interestingly, Goldman Sachs (GS), among the biggest winners now that we're pulling out from the recession, didn't see as much play.
Continue reading Financial Crisis Didn't Push Bankers from Industry, LinkedIn Reports
Posted Feb 18th 2010 8:30AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Walgreen Co (WAG), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Options
Goldman Sachs (GS) closed at $157.26. March put option implied volatility is at 31, April is at 32, versus its six-month average of 33, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.
Walgreen (WAG) agreed to acquire Duane Reade from affiliates of Oak Hill Capital Partners. WAG anticipates the transaction to be dilutive to earnings per share in the first 12-months after closing. WAG overall option implied volatility of 28 is near its 26-week average of 26 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional near-term price movement.
Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Feb 15th 2010 2:40PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Goldman Sachs Group (GS)

The odds that you'll have a long, healthy life are better than ever ... and that creates a pretty hefty problem for
pension funds. They need to find new ways to meet their obligations in a turbulent market, and the risk that you'll hang on forever is approaching every day. So, unless we're able to pass legislation encouraging mass suicide among the Baby Boomers (it's a joke, people,
read Christopher Buckley's Boomsday to see how it shakes out), pension fund managers have a hefty dose of risk to offload -- fast. They're looking at the
insurance-linked securities market as a way to handle the problem.
All joking aside, pension funds and insurers are translating to total pension liabilities of $19 trillion in the U.S. and $3 trillion in the UK,
according to a Reuters report using data from International Financial Services London. And, an increase in longevity by one year could translate into a 3% jump in liabilities. Put simply, the IFSL's data means another $600 billion in the U.S. and $90 billion in the UK. Basically, everything we do to stick around longer (not that I'm discouraging it) leads to a higher and higher price tag.
Continue reading Pensions Consider Insurance Securitization Finance Because You Refuse to Die
Posted Feb 15th 2010 12:20PM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Goldman Sachs Group (GS)
Nine catastrophe bonds have matured so far in the first quarter of 2010, removing $1.8 billion in risk-transfer capacity, according to data from Reuters. The insurance industry has compensated with $508 million in new cat bond risk capital, with the busy fourth quarter helping to absorb what is maturing now. Only one cat bond has closed so far this year, The Hartford's (HIG) $180 million Foundation Re III. But, the first quarter is usually a quiet one for the cat bond market.
It partly replaces the $105 million in protection that Foundation Re D afforded. Swiss Re (SWCEY) and SCOR (SCRYY) are also among the insurance companies with bonds maturing that have at least partial coverage from new cat bond issuances. Another four bonds have matured, however, with no new related issuance, affecting Munich Re (MURGY), AXA (AXA) and others.
Continue reading Cat Bond Market Shift Favors Goldman Sachs
Posted Feb 15th 2010 11:00AM by Tom Johansmeyer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private Equity, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Amer Intl Group (AIG), Blackstone Group L.P (BX), Initial Public Offerings, Financial Crisis
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) wanted a piece of what could be the most interesting insurance IPO of the year, but it won't get a taste.
American International Group's (AIG) Asian life insurance unit, American International Association, is going to go public in Hong Kong for an estimated $10 billion, and JPMorgan isn't being allowed to play, insiders say, because of a sour relationship that stretches back to the September 2008 financial crisis. As a result, it will be the only major investment bank not being admitted to the party.
Continue reading AIG Skips JPMorgan for Asian IPO
Posted Feb 9th 2010 2:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Management, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), Wal-Mart (WMT), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), AFLAC Inc (AFL), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Campbell Soup (CPB), Chevron Corp (CVX), Chubb Corp (CB), ConocoPhillips (COP), CVS Corp (CVS), Darden Restaurants (DRI), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Verizon Communications (VZ), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Hasbro Inc (HAS), Entrepreneurs, Serious Money, Stock Screen, Raytheon Company (RTN), Xcel Energy (XEL), EZCORP (EZPW), Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV)

While most investors are fretting the markets recent contraction, you can be quite confident that "my pal Warren" has a smile on his face, as does Peter Lynch, Ken Heebner, Bill Miller, Bruce Berkowitz, and any number of fellow value investors that know now may be a time of opportunity. That is because they have the experience and understanding to pounce when they have a chance to buy things cheap.
This is the fourth installment of my series to discover just that: cheap stocks. If you would like to get on board from the beginning then review the initial post which screened for stocks with lower than market average P/E ratios, see
Serious Money: Market Looks Cheap to Me -- 35 Stocks. In the second installment, I looked at yield and PEG ratios:
Serious Money: Still Cheap Market -- 35 Stocks + Yields & Growth. Then I moved on to the the P/S and P/CF metrics in
Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks Yet -- From 35 to 26, cutting nine stocks.
Continue reading Serious Money: Cheapest Stocks List Shrinks from 26 to 21
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